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Showing posts from May, 2025

ArthaBay: Indonesian Stock Market Defies Expectations with Gains Amid Economic Slowdown

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 The Indonesian stock market, represented by the IDX Composite (IHSG), delivered a surprise performance today, finishing higher despite the release of weaker-than-expected economic data. IHSG Performance: After opening in positive territory, the IHSG maintained its upward momentum throughout the trading day, eventually closing with a gain of approximately 0.74% to 0.76%. This marked a new one-month high for the index. Some reports indicated a closing level around 6,830 points, while others suggested that it had briefly surpassed 6,850 points during the session. Economic Context: Indonesia’s economic figures for Q1 2025 painted a mixed picture, with GDP shrinking by 0.98% on a quarter-on-quarter basis. This represented the first quarterly contraction in a year and was slightly below market expectations. The decline in GDP was primarily attributed to reduced government spending and weakened investment. Despite this less-than-ideal economic report, the stock market defied expectations...

ArthaBay Analysis: Bulls Regain Ground as Tariff Fears Fade

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 The Street's been buzzing, and for good reason. We're witnessing a significant shift in market sentiment, a classic "risk-on" rotation as concerns surrounding those pesky tariffs continue to recede into the background. This isn't just your run-of-the-mill rally; the tape is showing conviction, underlined by the longest winning streak in two decades. That's a serious statement, folks, signaling more than just a dead cat bounce. ArthaBay's real-time data feeds are lighting up with increased capital inflows, a clear indication that sidelined money is finally getting off the bench. The fear gauge, the VIX, has been on a steady decline, mirroring this newfound optimism. Options players are adjusting their positioning, with put-call ratios suggesting a waning appetite for downside protection. This collective sigh of relief is palpable across the trading desks. Looking under the hood, the funding side of the equation corroborates this bullish narrative. Margin b...